Vietnam to enter “elderly population structure” in 2026: study
Vietnam will enter the “elderly population structure” in 2026, which will last for 28 years until 2054, according to an in-depth study of the 2019 population and housing census.
Hanoi (VNA) – Vietnam will enter the “elderly population structure”in 2026, which will last for 28 years until 2054, according to an in-depthstudy of the 2019 population and housing census.
The structure will be followed by a “very elderlypopulation” period from 2055 to 2069.
Meanwhile, the “golden population structure” in Vietnam willend in 2039.
The study also reveals that according to the medium-termforecast, Vietnam’s population will reach 104.5 million in 2029, 110.8 millionin 2039, and 116.9 million in 2069.
If the sex ratio at birth remains unchanged, Vietnam islikely to record an excess of 1.5 million males aged 15-49 by 2034 and 2.5million by 2059.
Vu Thi Thu Thuy, Director of the Population and LabourStatistics Department at the General Statistics Office (GSO), said the birthrate in Vietnam is currently around the replacement fertility rate, which willslow population growth rate to less than 1 percent annually over the next 10years.
There are considerable differences in the birth rate amongregions and population groups, she stressed, saying it is quite high in someethnic minority groups such as the Mong, with 3.59 children per woman.
Meanwhile, northern midland and mountainous localities andthose in the Central Highlands have the highest birth rates, while the lowestbeing in southeastern Vietnam and the Mekong Delta.
With the current birth rate, population structure andimbalanced sex ratio at birth, the population will age and lack men in certainage groups in the future, the study pointed out.
The census, the fifth of its kind since the nationalreunification in 1975, collected basic demographic information on more than96.2 million people in nearly 26.9 million households nationwide./.
Twenty percent of Vietnam’s population will be 60 years of age or older within the next 20 years, resulting in the country experiencing an “elderly population crisis”.
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Illustrative image (Source: VNA) 
